Trump sends Patriot missiles to Ukraine, imposes 30% tariffs on EU

US continues to aid Ukraine, but this time… EU pays?

On July 14, US President Donald Trump surprised the market when he announced will provide Patriot air defense missile systems to Ukraine, But costs paid by the European Union.

Trump said as he left New Jersey:

“For us, this is a business deal. They (Ukraine) need Patriots, and the EU will pay.”

This move is in stark contrast to his previously stated “no aid” stance. At the same time, Trump continued to criticize Russian President Putin:

“He (Putin) talks very well, but at night he bombs everywhere. I don't like this.”

US-EU-Mexico trade tensions escalate

On the same day, The White House confirmed that the US will impose 30% tariffs on goods from the EU and Mexico from August 1, 2025..

Economic advisers warn that the massive tariffs would spark a wave of retaliation, straining global supply chains. The EU has also declared its readiness to respond accordingly.

“If the US attacks with tariffs, the EU will respond,” a senior EU official told Reuters.

Gold hits peak of 3,372 USD/oz – investors rush to take shelter

Immediately after the news of tariffs and aid to Ukraine, World gold price jumped to 3,372.65 USD/oz, the highest level since June.

• Gold is currently trading around 3,367 USD/oz
• Many experts predict gold will continue to rise if this week's US CPI data disappoints or geopolitical instability escalates.

Bitcoin Surpasses $119,000 – FOMO is Back

Bitcoin continue to break the top, crossed the $119,000 mark, benefit from:

• Inflation concerns and US monetary policy
• Huge Capital Flows Into Digital Assets As Volatility Rises
• FOMO speculation psychology spreads across exchanges

Many analysts believe that if the US CPI is lower than expected, Bitcoin could head towards 130,000 USD, even 200,000 USD in the long term.

Russia – Ukraine: The situation has not cooled down

July 13, Russian Defense Ministry announced that it had destroyed 2 launchers and 1 radar of the US-made Patriot system..

• Russia attacks Donetsk region, takes control of 2 more settlements.
• Ukraine claims to have repelled more than 90 attacks, especially fierce in the direction of Pokrovsk.

Israel investigates secret leaks, builds “humanitarian city” in Gaza

In the Middle East, the situation is also heating up:

• Netanyahu's adviser accused of leaking classified documents to German newspaper
• Israeli Army presents plan to build “Humanitarian City” in Rafah (Gaza), expected to be completed in 3–5 months

Experts warn that the plan could hinder ceasefire negotiations and prisoner exchanges with Hamas.

Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, gold & BTC benefit?

According to the “Fed Watch” tool:

• Probability of Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July: 93.3%
• September: Probability remains 59.7%, down 25 points to 36.2%

This situation further supports the flow of money into gold and cryptocurrencies in the short term.

Suggested investment strategy:

• Yellow: Could continue to rise if US CPI is weak or tensions escalate. Can buy on correction.
• Crypto: Bitcoin is “overheating”, investors should wait for the correction zone to enter long-term positions.
• US stocks: Be cautious as markets may react negatively to tax and geopolitical threats.
• Forex: USD may lose momentum if Fed is dovish on June CPI.

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